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Table 1 Documents on developments in society and scenarios analyzed

From: Developments in society and implications for emerging pollutants in the aquatic environment

No. Title Institution/author Years References Main topics/comments
(1) Scenarios for middle- and long-term developments in society, caused by multiple drivers
1.1 GEO 5 for business—impacts of a changing environment on the corporate sector UNEP—United Nation Environment Programme 2013 [12] Environmental change—because of two main drivers population growth and economic development
1.2 GEO 5—global environmental outlook UNEP—United Nation Environment Programme 2012 [70] Climate change population growth urbanization
Water scarcity—and its impacts
1.3 Millennium ecosystem assessment (MA) Alcamo et al. 2003 [13] The four MA Scenarios and their direct and indirect drivers
1.4 Measuring progress—environmental goals and gaps UNEP—United Nation Environment Programme 2012 [104] Climate change chemicals waste, water
1.5 The European environment—state and outlook 2010 European Environment Agency, Jock Martin, Thomas Henrichs, and many more 2010 [14] Climate change nature and biodiversity natural resources and waste
Environment, health, and quality of life these are directly/indirectly linked
1.6 Planetary boundaries: exploring the safe operating space for humanity Rockström et al. 2009 [15] Seven planetary boundaries
(2) Developments in water use and water cycles
2.1 World water vision—making water everybody’s business World Water Council 2000 [16] Future scenarios for water, water business
2.2 Charting our water future Economic framework to inform decision-making McKinsey 2030 water resources group 2009 [105] Economic framework
2.3 Water in a changing world The United Nations World Water Development Report 3 UNESCO 2009 [11] Drivers of water changes of water cycle
2.4 GLOWA—global change and the hydrological cycle Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) 2008 [106] Influence of demographic and technological change for water use, climate change
2.5 Future long term changes in global water resources driven by socioeconomic and climate changes Alcamo et al. 2007 [107] Global water resources, global change, water scenarios, water availability, water stress, climate change, and water
2.6 Water for men. Water for life UNESCO World water assessment programme 2003 [108] World water assessment
2.7 Water resources across Europe—confronting water scarcity and drought European Environment Agency 2009 [17] Future water use, main drivers
(3) Developments in use and impact of chemicals
3.1 Chemicals action plan 2010–2013. safety in Denmark Government of Denmark 2010–2013 [109] Use of chemicals on a global scale
3.2 Costs on inaction on the sound managements of chemicals UNEP 2013 [18] Impacts of chemicals for health, environmental, and development effects
3.3 Harmful substances and hazardous waste United Nation Environment Programme   [110] Hazardous wastes
3.4 Ökotoxikologische Bewertung von anthropogenen Stoffen Thomas Knacker, Anja Coors, Acatech 2011 [19] Pollutants in river systems and effects
3.5 Organische Spurenstoffe im Wasserkreislauf Axel Bergmann, Acatech 2011 [111] Pollutants in water cycles
(4) Specific driver: climate change
4.1 IPCC special report emissions scenarios, summary for policymakers Intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC) working group 2000 [20] Climate change
4.2 SCARCE—assessing and predicting effects on water quality and quantity in Iberian Rivers caused by global change Spanish Council for Scientific Research 2009–2014 [21] Change of water quality/quantity
4.3 WATCH—water and global change Richard Harding Tanya Warnaars 2011 [112] Introduction to the achievements of the WATCH Project Water cycle and its changes
4.4 Modell Deutschland: Klimaschutz bis 2050 Prognos, Öko-Institut e.V. 2009 [113] Climate protection, focus Germany
(5) Specific driver: demographic change
5.1 Die demografische Zukunft Europas–wie sich Regionen verändern Berlin Institut für Bevölkerung und Entwicklung 2008 [114] Demographic change in Europe
5.2 OECD environmental outlook to 2050—the consequences of inaction OECD 2012 [22] Demographic change and its impact
(6) Specific driver: technological/economical changes
6.1 Trend Report Convenience—Machen Sie es sich bequem SevenOne media 2007 [115] Changing living standard, food, trade, human care products, e-commerce, consumer electronics
6.2 THOUGHTS megatrends Roland Berger, School of Strategy and Education   [23] Different perception—see chances in economic/technology sector because of the scenarios
(7) Sector-specific topic: development in food production
7.1 Fisheries and aquaculture in Europe European Commission 2012 [116] Aquaculture
7.2 The food gap—the impacts of climate change on food production 2020 FEU-US 2011 [117] Impacts of climate change on food production in 2020
(8) Sector-specific topic: nutrients
8.1 Global river nutrient report: a scenario analysis of past and future trends Seitzinger et al. 2009 [24] Nutrient flows, MA scenarios included
8.2 World water vision—making water everybody’s business World Water Council 2000 [16] Future scenarios for water and waste water
(9) Further aspects
9.1 Late lessons from early warning: the precautionary principle 1896–2000 European Environment Agency 2002 [25] Retrospective analysis
9.2 Towards a green economy in Europe—EU environmental policy targets and objectives 2010–2050 European Environment Agency 2013 [26] Green economy in Europe with laws and implementations
9.3 World social science report—changing global environment UNESCO and ISCC 2013 [118] Social developments
9.4 zPunkt megatrends zPunkt GmbH 2012 [119] Abstract of different megatrends