Developments in society and implications for emerging pollutants in the aquatic environment

Bunke, Dirk; Moritz, Susanne; Brack, Werner; Herráez, David López; Posthuma, Leo; Nuss, Margarita

doi:10.1186/s12302-019-0213-1

Environmental Sciences Europe

Table 1 Documents on developments in society and scenarios analyzed

From: Developments in society and implications for emerging pollutants in the aquatic environment

No.	Title	Institution/author	Years	References	Main topics/comments
(1) Scenarios for middle- and long-term developments in society, caused by multiple drivers
1.1	GEO 5 for business—impacts of a changing environment on the corporate sector	UNEP—United Nation Environment Programme	2013	[12]	Environmental change—because of two main drivers population growth and economic development
1.2	GEO 5—global environmental outlook	UNEP—United Nation Environment Programme	2012	[70]	Climate change population growth urbanization Water scarcity—and its impacts
1.3	Millennium ecosystem assessment (MA)	Alcamo et al.	2003	[13]	The four MA Scenarios and their direct and indirect drivers
1.4	Measuring progress—environmental goals and gaps	UNEP—United Nation Environment Programme	2012	[104]	Climate change chemicals waste, water
1.5	The European environment—state and outlook 2010	European Environment Agency, Jock Martin, Thomas Henrichs, and many more	2010	[14]	Climate change nature and biodiversity natural resources and waste Environment, health, and quality of life these are directly/indirectly linked
1.6	Planetary boundaries: exploring the safe operating space for humanity	Rockström et al.	2009	[15]	Seven planetary boundaries
(2) Developments in water use and water cycles
2.1	World water vision—making water everybody’s business	World Water Council	2000	[16]	Future scenarios for water, water business
2.2	Charting our water future Economic framework to inform decision-making	McKinsey 2030 water resources group	2009	[105]	Economic framework
2.3	Water in a changing world The United Nations World Water Development Report 3	UNESCO	2009	[11]	Drivers of water changes of water cycle
2.4	GLOWA—global change and the hydrological cycle	Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF)	2008	[106]	Influence of demographic and technological change for water use, climate change
2.5	Future long term changes in global water resources driven by socioeconomic and climate changes	Alcamo et al.	2007	[107]	Global water resources, global change, water scenarios, water availability, water stress, climate change, and water
2.6	Water for men. Water for life	UNESCO World water assessment programme	2003	[108]	World water assessment
2.7	Water resources across Europe—confronting water scarcity and drought	European Environment Agency	2009	[17]	Future water use, main drivers
(3) Developments in use and impact of chemicals
3.1	Chemicals action plan 2010–2013. safety in Denmark	Government of Denmark	2010–2013	[109]	Use of chemicals on a global scale
3.2	Costs on inaction on the sound managements of chemicals	UNEP	2013	[18]	Impacts of chemicals for health, environmental, and development effects
3.3	Harmful substances and hazardous waste	United Nation Environment Programme		[110]	Hazardous wastes
3.4	Ökotoxikologische Bewertung von anthropogenen Stoffen	Thomas Knacker, Anja Coors, Acatech	2011	[19]	Pollutants in river systems and effects
3.5	Organische Spurenstoffe im Wasserkreislauf	Axel Bergmann, Acatech	2011	[111]	Pollutants in water cycles
(4) Specific driver: climate change
4.1	IPCC special report emissions scenarios, summary for policymakers	Intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC) working group	2000	[20]	Climate change
4.2	SCARCE—assessing and predicting effects on water quality and quantity in Iberian Rivers caused by global change	Spanish Council for Scientific Research	2009–2014	[21]	Change of water quality/quantity
4.3	WATCH—water and global change	Richard Harding Tanya Warnaars	2011	[112]	Introduction to the achievements of the WATCH Project Water cycle and its changes
4.4	Modell Deutschland: Klimaschutz bis 2050	Prognos, Öko-Institut e.V.	2009	[113]	Climate protection, focus Germany
(5) Specific driver: demographic change
5.1	Die demografische Zukunft Europas–wie sich Regionen verändern	Berlin Institut für Bevölkerung und Entwicklung	2008	[114]	Demographic change in Europe
5.2	OECD environmental outlook to 2050—the consequences of inaction	OECD	2012	[22]	Demographic change and its impact
(6) Specific driver: technological/economical changes
6.1	Trend Report Convenience—Machen Sie es sich bequem	SevenOne media	2007	[115]	Changing living standard, food, trade, human care products, e-commerce, consumer electronics
6.2	THOUGHTS megatrends	Roland Berger, School of Strategy and Education		[23]	Different perception—see chances in economic/technology sector because of the scenarios
(7) Sector-specific topic: development in food production
7.1	Fisheries and aquaculture in Europe	European Commission	2012	[116]	Aquaculture
7.2	The food gap—the impacts of climate change on food production 2020	FEU-US	2011	[117]	Impacts of climate change on food production in 2020
(8) Sector-specific topic: nutrients
8.1	Global river nutrient report: a scenario analysis of past and future trends	Seitzinger et al.	2009	[24]	Nutrient flows, MA scenarios included
8.2	World water vision—making water everybody’s business	World Water Council	2000	[16]	Future scenarios for water and waste water
(9) Further aspects
9.1	Late lessons from early warning: the precautionary principle 1896–2000	European Environment Agency	2002	[25]	Retrospective analysis
9.2	Towards a green economy in Europe—EU environmental policy targets and objectives 2010–2050	European Environment Agency	2013	[26]	Green economy in Europe with laws and implementations
9.3	World social science report—changing global environment	UNESCO and ISCC	2013	[118]	Social developments
9.4	zPunkt megatrends	zPunkt GmbH	2012	[119]	Abstract of different megatrends

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