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Table 2 Projected long-term mean shifts of 23 phases between 2071 to 2100 and 1961 to 1990

From: Modelling and mapping of plant phenological stages as bio-meteorological indicators for climate change

Phase

1

2

6

52

7

115

62

13

15

19

18

123

20

64

100

109

67

54

56

60

102

103

104

Differences (days) between 1991 to 2009 and 1961 to 1990 (DWD-observation)

                       

 Observed

-14

-9

-11

-10

-8

-6

-10

-8

-9

-7

-10

-4

-7

-9

-8

-5

-11

-6

-7

-7

-12

-9

-10

Differences (days) between 2071 to 2100 (projection) and 1961 to 1990 (DWD-observation)

                       

 ECLM_K

-30

-22

-23

-13

-16

-7

-16

-14

-15

-12

-17

-12

-15

-19

-25

-26

27

-15

-15

-19

-26

-21

-24

 HCLM_K

-32

-23

-26

-18

-19

-11

-20

-17

-18

-14

-19

-12

-15

-20

-25

-27

29

-17

-18

-21

-25

-21

-24

 RUBA_K

-33

-24

-25

-13

-17

-7

-15

-14

-15

-12

-16

-11

-14

-17

-22

-23

25

-15

-14

-19

-23

-18

-20

 WETTR_00

-40

-28

-30

-18

-21

-11

-21

-18

-19

-15

-21

-13

-16

-22

-25

-27

27

-20

-19

-25

-27

-21

-25

 WETTR_05

-40

-28

-30

-16

-20

-10

-19

-18

-17

-13

-19

-11

-15

-21

-26

-26

27

-19

-17

-23

-26

-21

-25

  1. ECLM_K, HCLM_K, and RUBA_K WETTR are the climate models applied for the SRES scenario A1B [29]. ECHAM5/COSMO-CLM (bias corrected), HADM3/COSMO-CLM (bias corrected), REMO/UBA (bias corrected) and WETTREG2010 run_00 and run_55 [5659]. DWD, Deutscher Wetterdienst (National Meteorological Service of the Federal Republic of Germany).