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  • Beitragsserie: Klimaänderung und Klimaschutz
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Klimaänderungen: Mögliche Ursachen in Vergangenheit und Zukunft

Climate change: Origins in the past and the future

Umweltwissenschaften und Schadstoff-Forschung volume 15, pages 21–30 (2003)Cite this article

Zusammenfassung

In diesem Übersichtsartikel werden zwei Klimadefinitionen, die meteorologische und die systemanalytische, vorgestellt. Verschiedene Ursachen für Klimaänderungen werden vergleichend diskutiert: die extern angetriebene Klimavariabilität und die ohne äußeren Anstoß, aufgrund von internen Instabilitäten im System ausgelöste, freie oder interne Klimavariabilität. Sowohl die angetriebene als auch die freie Klimavariabilität kann sich durch periodische, zufällig periodische und abrupte Klimaänderungen bemerkbar machen. Abschließend werden die verschiedenen Möglichkeiten der Klimavorhersage betrachtet.

Abstract

In this overview two definitions of climate are presented, from the meteorological point of view and from the climate system’s point of view. The origin of climate change is discussed, i.e., externally forced variability and free, or internal variability that is caused without external trigger by internal instabilities of the system. Both, forced and free variability can appear as periodic, randomly quasi-periodic, and abrupt climate change. Finally, various possibilities of climate forecast are considered.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung, Postfach 601203, D-14412, Potsdam

    Martin Claussen

  2. Universität Potsdam, Institut für Physik, Universität Potsdam, Postfach 601553, D-14415, Potsdam

    Martin Claussen

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  1. Martin Claussen
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OnlineFirst: 5. Februar 2003

Professor Dr. Martin Claussen ist amtierender Direktor des Potsdam-Instituts für Klimafolgenforschung und Vorsitzender der Deutschen Meteorologischen Gesellschaft (Amtsperiode 2003–2005). Sein aktuelles Forschungsgebiet umfasst die Klimasystemmodellierung einschließlich der Paläoklimamodellierung, wobei die Wechselwirkung zwischen dem physikalischen Klimasystem und der Biosphäre im Vordergrund der Forschung steht. Professor Claussen ist ausgebildeter Meteorologe und lehrt zurzeit Klimaphysik an der Universität Potsdam.

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Claussen, M. Klimaänderungen: Mögliche Ursachen in Vergangenheit und Zukunft. UWSF - Z Umweltchem Ökotox 15, 21–30 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03038671

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