Skip to main content

Table 2 Illustrative classifications for types of properties, stressors, adverse effect scenarios and testable hypotheses

From: Environmental risk assessment of genetically modified plants - concepts and controversies

GM crop

Bt crop

HR crop

Starch-altered crop

Property causing adverse effects

Property: insect resistance

Property: herbicide resistance

Property: altered starch composition

 

Mechanism: expression of toxin

Mechanism: Expression of altered EPSPS

Mechanism: down- and up-regulation of existing compounds

Stressor/mechanism

Primary: Bt-crop and Bt toxin as integral component

Primary: HR-crop and altered EPSPS protein as integral component

Primary:

   

High amylopectin content

   

No amylose content

 

Secondary: none

Secondary: Herbicide

Secondary: none

Adverse effect scenario

Increased mortality of a chrysopid predator feeding on an unaffected plant hopper in Bt maize leads to reduced biocontrol and higher plant hopper infestation

Reduction of the local population of a butterfly species whose larvae feed monophagously on a certain nontarget weed plant occurring mainly in oilseed rape fields.

Increased suitability of amylopectin GM potato for a virus-transmitting aphid. More aphids will now transmit more viruses and create problems for neighbouring crop plants.

Testable hypotheses

Higher generational mortality among chrysopids raised on Bt maize-fed plant hoppers

Lower densities of caterpillars of the particular butterfly species in fields treated with the corresponding herbicide of the HR oilseed rape than in non-GM oilseed rape fields

Higher reproduction rate and population densities of aphids on amylopectin GM potato than on non-GM isogenic potato

 

Higher survival of plant hoppers on Bt maize than on isogenic maize in the presence of a similar number of same-aged chrysopid predators

  
  1. The three case examples Bt-, HR- and starch-altered crops under a broader, alternative ERA model
  2. At the centre of the ERA is always the whole GM plant