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Table 6 Mann–Kendall test and Pettitt test on hydroclimatic parameters over the past period (1986(2014) and future period (2015–2100) at the Simenti station

From: Assessment of current and future trends in water resources in the Gambia River Basin in a context of climate change

 

Mann–Kendall test

Pettitt test

Kendall Tau

p-value (bilateral)

Alpha

Sen slope

Breakup date

p-value

Average before break

Average after breakage

Rate of change

1985–2014 (observed)

0.310

0.016

0.05

2.608

1993

0.003

95.6

166

73,1

1985–2014 (simulated)

0.166

0.205

0.05

1.101

1999

0.152

136

168

23,4

SSP 245

− 0.087

0.236

0.05

− 0.212

2057

0.653

89.5

83,9

-6,2

SSP 585

− 0.292

 < 0.0001

0.05

− 0.698

2059

 < 0.0001

100.7

62,5

-37,9